A poll-oholic truly believes in the election numbers game.
No matter what the people say, no matter how heavy the toll wears on their weary faces--no matter how much hope is expressed in the need for new leadership--poll-oholics believe in the science of calling the horse race by cold, hard stats.
Let the Frog toss out a few numbers to those so addicted who find themselves suddenly 12-stepping backwards from a new equation in politics.
--57% of Iowan voters under the age of thirty voted for Barack Obama.
--An estimated 220,000 Democrats showed up at caucus sites, compared to 124,000 in 2004. More than 346,000 Democratic and Republican Iowa caucus-goers total, 30% Republicans were first time caucus attendees as compared to 60% first time Democratic go-to-caucus-meeters.
--Obama's victory in this overwhelmingly white state stood as a powerful answer to the question of whether America is prepared to vote for a black person for president. At the same time, the apparent surge of independent voters to his side, as suggested by polls of voters entering the caucuses, suggested his potential appeal in a general election.
--72% of first time caucus attendees threw their support behind Barack Obama.
--Half of Democrats said their top factor in choosing a candidate was someone who could bring about change. Just 20 percent said the right experience, Mrs. Clinton’s key argument, was the main factor.
--Mr. Obama peeled away broad swaths of women from her base of support, and the political potency of baby boomers fell apart in Iowa. Half of the Democrats under 45 said their first choice was Mr. Obama, according to a poll by Edison/Mitofsky of voters entering caucus sites.
--60% of Republican Iowans identified themselves as evangelicals. 45% of those supported Mike Huckabee with their caucus vote. They made him the winner.
--Only one in 10 voters at the Democratic caucuses emphasized the "electability" factor emphasized by the Clinton camp -- and the biggest group of those voters picked Mr. Edwards.
Throw away your calculators, friends. As so well-stated by Tim Russert, Iowa "is a tremor that can become an earthquake."
"Change is coming to America."
--Barack Obama, 1/3/08
--Barack Obama, 1/3/08
6 comments:
I wish I were comfortable with Obama. I have this terrible feeling that Oprah is choosing our next President.
Have you seen him in person?
THAT is what made up my mind. Til that moment I wss really undecided just anti-hillary and moving towards anti-edwards.
There were other things that bugged me about Edwards but seeing him in person .... changed my mind, too.
I'm kinda befuddled, frankly.
Still, nothing can be as bad as ... G E O R G E and J E B. (one hopes)
Michael Hussey was a strong supporter of .. can't remember the name now ... the guy who ran against Jim davis for governor... gallagher?? I could not STAND gallagher. Smith? The other democrat. LOL. I think it's smith. His supporters seemed like reasonable, intelligent, lovely folks. I just didn't 'get' it. He was in the pocket of big sugar. Of course, davis was the lesser evil. That's very clear now.
Well, I'm proud for you, disappointed for me and happy that HIllary didn't win. Scared for America.
And ... gad. Huckabee. The pictures of the Republicans debating are very scary.
I have seen Obama speak in person.
Vox, I was so proud of Iowa last night, moving this country forward. Although Huckabee is a bit evangelistic for me, Obama speaks for me...he will be my President, I knew it when I first heard him speak at the Dem convention and I know it now.
Don't be afraid, be glad.
We are finally breaking free of the Bush handcuffs!
:)
So ... I did a search on both guys. DIdn't bother with clinton because I EL OH A TEE H EEE her. LOL
Couldn't find anything on edwards quickly because apparently there are too many SOs with that name. Could be he has done something just as troubling but this is what I found:Senator Obama cosponsored Dru's Law which creates a nationwide sex offender database and requires greater monitoring of sex offenders upon their release from prison. The bill passed the Senate in July of 2005. This legislation was incorporated into a larger bill, the Adam Walsh Child Protection Act, which Senator Obama supported and which has been signed into law.
He also cosponsored the Sex Offender Registration and Notification Act. This bill increases the penalties for sex crimes against children under the age of 12 and creates a national Internet site known as the National Sex Offender Public Registry. The bill would also provide grants to local law enforcement to assist in preventing and investigating sex crimes against minors.
Senator Obama is a cosponsor of the KIDS Act, which requires convicted sex offenders to provide their Internet identifiers, such as e-mail addresses and instant message addresses, for inclusion into the national sex offender registry.
I know you are master of the internet and I honestly just did a couple of fast searches. I can't put my finger on what bothers me so much about O. Different stuff.
anyway ... I'm not trying to be smartass or funny I know you know that. I'm just thinking along that thread of ... oprah picking our next pres. and then huh, silly me, I realized that HELLO Obama IS the senator from illinois. It's really not that far-fetched but I didn't realize it all until I started giving it some thought.
Okay, back to my reading.
Let's start with the passage of the Adam Walsh Act, which was passed by the Senate by voice vote and the House, where a handful of elected official-all sponsors and co-sponsors of the AWA- passed the same act under suspension of the rules--not a voice vote or not by a seated house. Sennsenbrenner--as then-Chair of the House Judiciary--slammed that bill into law days before the session ended, in time to have Bush sign the AWA into law on the anniversary of Adam's death. Mark Foley was among the group. Read more here and here and here.
The Senate did not curb the House, including Edward Kennedy, who caved to Frist by removing the hate crime attachment to this bill.
With the passage of the AWA, SORA and Dru's Law were encapsulated within the AWA.
As far as Kid's Act--as the public is becoming more educated on "the counterproductive sex offender laws"--I foresee lawmakers will give themselves permission to take a second look at legislation sponsored through the lobbying efforts of strong arm persons such as John Walsh, who pushed the AWA through with outdated and blatantly false information, although Orrin Hatch and Mark Foley staffers were presented with accurate, up-to-date information.
These Republican types have a way of obfuscating the truth, but hey,we all that.
Lawmakers are (finally) doing their homework. They are finally beginning to pour over the numerous reports which government agencies and mental health experts have compiled and that the taxpayers have paid for regarding recidivism, types of offenders, factual data and the negative consequences of the plethora of ill thought out legislation.
It is disappointing that Obama signed his name onto such legislation, but I can guarantee he never heard the true facts presented by advocates for families crushed by these Draconian laws. On the other hand, I feel these same advocates stand a better chance to have their voices heard with a President who worked on the ground floor of civil rights.
Thanks for the links and in fact, I think I'll post this for others asking the same questions.
sunny, you're just awesome. I believe we were somehow separated at birth but i'll address that on the more appropriate thread with more appropriate time.
Anyway, yeah I was suprises actually. THEN< I had this terrible feeling that you would think I should not have put this on the obama thread. yikes. (I'm not the best on internet protocol so I worried later)
THanks for expanding on this. You can bet I'll be back to read it more thoroughly. AND, the more recent post. I'm a bit late today so .....
later every day. By next week I'll be blogging day late bread news. LOL
My friend, you can say whatever you want on this blog! We've had enough of a covert Presidency for the last friggin' eight years! Your observation opened up a point that others might think and never ask--you know, Barack's a wonder boy but he ain't perfect--just close to it...but he definitely needs a bit of sex education...but as we both know, when someone like John Walsh knows the right people in the right places, legislation gets passed for all sorts of different reasons with facts that only prove the point those like Walsh wants proved.
It's a shell game. But honestly, I think if Barack Obama knew what collateral damage families members of those forced to register were going through with these nonsense Draconian laws, he would be horrified at the lying information presented Congress in order to get the Adam Walsh Act passed.
Hey--let's agree to keep on asking questions until they shut both of us up! :)
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